Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002671 0.002853 0.003050 0.003280 0.003542 0.003835 0.004190
2024-12-22 0.002428 0.002681 0.002970 0.003332 0.003781 0.004332 0.005081
2024-12-29 0.002267 0.002563 0.002918 0.003388 0.004013 0.004848 0.006121
2025-01-05 0.002096 0.002408 0.002794 0.003325 0.004068 0.005131 0.006914
2025-01-12 0.001941 0.002254 0.002651 0.003211 0.004025 0.005253 0.007485
2025-01-19 0.001851 0.002174 0.002592 0.003200 0.004121 0.005594 0.008550
2025-01-26 0.001703 0.002008 0.002406 0.002990 0.003887 0.005353 0.008408
2025-02-02 0.001654 0.001968 0.002385 0.003015 0.004017 0.005752 0.009765
2025-02-09 0.001633 0.001963 0.002412 0.003108 0.004269 0.006427 0.012212
2025-02-16 0.001590 0.001926 0.002388 0.003122 0.004387 0.006876 0.014454
2025-02-23 0.001580 0.001932 0.002428 0.003238 0.004701 0.007835 0.019727
2025-03-02 0.001526 0.001875 0.002369 0.003189 0.004700 0.008074 0.022524
2025-03-09 0.001467 0.001810 0.002300 0.003124 0.004678 0.008299 0.026184
2025-03-16 0.001444 0.001795 0.002307 0.003189 0.004928 0.009366 0.040837
2025-03-23 0.001420 0.001779 0.002310 0.003247 0.005179 0.010599 0.077011
2025-03-30 0.001373 0.001726 0.002252 0.003191 0.005168 0.010993 0.118906
2025-04-06 0.001319 0.001660 0.002170 0.003086 0.005029 0.010877 0.147347
2025-04-13 0.001288 0.001628 0.002142 0.003076 0.005112 0.011656 0.561409
2025-04-20 0.001221 0.001539 0.002017 0.002879 0.004729 0.010437 0.200110
2025-04-27 0.001202 0.001523 0.002010 0.002903 0.004878 0.011472 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001198 0.001528 0.002036 0.002990 0.005203 0.013593 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001179 0.001510 0.002024 0.003004 0.005341 0.014999 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001178 0.001520 0.002058 0.003111 0.005762 0.018814 NaN